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February 28, 2026Nature Communications0 citationsOpen Access

Prospective multicenter study of ctDNA versus tumor tissue guiding FGFR-targeted therapy in metastatic urothelial cancer

DMDavid C. MüllerAMAndrew J. MurthaJBJack V. W. Bacon

Key Points

  • This study investigates the effectiveness of plasma ctDNA testing for identifying FGFR alterations compared to traditional tissue testing in metastatic urothelial cancer.
  • Conducted a multicenter prospective study
  • Analyzed plasma ctDNA samples from 208 patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma
  • Assessed concordance of ctDNA and tissue FGFR testing
  • Measured sensitivity of ctDNA for detecting FGFR alterations
  • Found 26% FGFR alteration frequency in both tissue and ctDNA samples
  • Demonstrated 90% concordance in FGFR status between ctDNA and tissue results
  • Achieved 84% sensitivity of ctDNA for tissue-detected FGFR alterations
  • Identified 7 additional actionable cases through ctDNA analysis
  • Reported median progression-free survival of 7.5 months for patients treated with erdafitinib after testing

Abstract

Fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) alterations are targetable in metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC). Identifying FGFR alterations currently requires tissue testing, which is limited by sample availability and cancer heterogeneity. Plasma circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) offers a complementary testing strategy, but the added value of ctDNA relative to conventional FGFR alteration assessment remains unclear. Here, in a prospective, multicentre study, we show that ctDNA testing has high concordance with tissue FGFR testing and identifies additional actionable FGFR alterations. We profile plasma from 208 patients with mUC undergoing clinical FGFR tissue testing for erdafitinib eligibility. In evaluable baseline samples, FGFR alteration frequency is 26% in either tissue or ctDNA. Among 125 patients with baseline detected ctDNA and paired tissue results, FGFR status is concordant in 90%, and ctDNA has an 84% sensitivity for tissue-detected alterations while also identifying 7 additional cases. Serial plasma collections post-baseline further clarify FGFR status. In 21 patients who received erdafitinib after testing, the median progression-free survival is 7.5 months, and one patient with a ctDNA-exclusive FGFR alteration remained on erdafitinib for 33 months. Our results support clinical uptake of ctDNA FGFR testing in combination with tissue-based approaches in mUC. Plasma ctDNA testing for FGFR alterations in metastatic urothelial carcinoma shows high concordance with tissue testing and identifies additional patients with actionable alterations. Here, the authors show that clinical uptake of ctDNA FGFR testing can be combined with tissue-based approaches.

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Cite This Study

Müller et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a288590a974eb0d3c04396https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-69927-7
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