Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Optimum Design Parameters for Axially Symmetric Cylindrical Reinforced Concrete Walls

This study presents a hybrid approach integrating metaheuristic optimization and machine learning methods to quickly and reliably estimate the optimum design parameters of dome-shaped axially symmetric cylindrical reinforced concrete (RC) walls. A comprehensive dataset was created using the Jaya algorithm to minimize total material cost for hinged and fixed support conditions. For each optimized design case, total wall height (H), dome height (Hd), dome thickness (hd), and fluid unit weight (γ) were considered as input parameters; optimum wall thickness (hw) and total cost were determined as output parameters. Using the obtained dataset, a total of thirteen different regression-based machine learning algorithms, including linear regression-based models, tree-based ensemble methods, and neural network models, were trained and tested. Hyperparameter adjustments for all models were performed using the Optuna framework, and model performances were evaluated using a ten-fold cross-validation method and holdout dataset results. The results showed that machine learning models can learn the optimum design space obtained from metaheuristic optimization outputs with high accuracy. In optimum wall thickness estimation, Gradient Boosting-based models provided the highest accuracy under both hinged and fixed support conditions. In total cost estimation, the Gradient Boosting model stood out under hinged support conditions, while the XGBoost model yielded the most successful results for fixed support conditions. The findings clearly show that no single machine learning model exhibits the best performance for all output parameters and support conditions. The proposed approach offers significantly higher computational efficiency compared to traditional iterative optimization processes and allows for rapid estimation of optimum design parameters without the need for any iterations. In this respect, this study provides an effective decision support tool that can be used especially in the preliminary design phases and contributes to sustainable, cost-effective reinforced concrete structure design.