Public Finance Sustainability and Local Community Resilience to Economic Shocks: An Integrated Analytical Framework and Empirical Evidence From Romania and the European Union

Public finance sustainability represents a fundamental pillar of macroeconomic stability and a key determinant of the ability of states and local communities to cope with major economic shocks. Against the backdrop of successive crises over the past two decades—financial, health-related, and geopolitical—the relationship between fiscal sustainability and community resilience has gained increasing attention in both economic scholarship and European institutional debates. The aim of this article is to examine the linkage between fiscal sustainability and the resilience of local communities through an integrated approach that combines cross-country analysis at the European Union level with an in-depth assessment of Romania’s experience. The study relies on Eurostat data covering the period 2015 2023 and focuses on fiscal indicators, the degree of fiscal decentralization, and the capacity of local communities to translate public resources into economic and institutional resilience. The methodological framework includes descriptive and comparative analysis, alongside the construction of a composite Community Resilience Index. The empirical findings reveal substantial disparities across EU Member States and indicate that fiscal sustainability, when accompanied by functional fiscal decentralization and strategically oriented public investment, is associated with higher levels of community resilience. In the case of Romania, the gap between a relatively moderate level of public debt and comparatively low community resilience is largely explained by limited local fiscal autonomy and persistent institutional constraints.