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March 5, 2026Agriculture0 citationsOpen Access

Analysis of AI-Based Predictive Models Using Vertical Farming Environmental Factors and Crop Growth Data

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GJGwang-Hoon JungHCHyeono ChoeMLMeonghun Lee

Key Points

  • The study aims to assess the effectiveness of AI-based models in predicting crop yields in vertical farming environments.
  • Analyzed a two-year operational dataset from a commercial vertical farm in South Korea.
  • Systematically benchmarked conventional machine learning and deep learning models.
  • Employed a patch-based Transformer model for prediction accuracy evaluation.
  • Conducted variable-importance analysis to identify key factors influencing yield.
  • The patch-based Transformer model achieved the highest predictive accuracy with R2 = 0.942.
  • Root mean square error (RMSE) of 5.81 grams per plant was reported.
  • Daily light integral and CO2 concentration accounted for over 76% of yield variability.

Abstract

Vertical farming requires precise environmental control, yet long-term multivariable analyses linking environmental dynamics and crop growth remain limited. This study analyzes a two-year operational dataset from a commercial vertical farm in South Korea to evaluate the suitability of advanced artificial intelligence models for harvest yield prediction. Conventional machine learning models and recent deep learning architectures were systematically benchmarked under identical conditions. Among them, the patch-based Transformer model achieved the highest predictive accuracy (R2 = 0.942; RMSE = 5.81 g per plant). The variable-importance analysis revealed that daily light integral and CO2 concentration were the dominant drivers of harvest yield variability, jointly accounting for more than 76% of total contribution. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of Transformer-based architectures for long-term multivariate time series modeling and provide actionable insights for the data-driven optimization of vertical farming systems.

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Cite This Study

Jung et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a91d9bd6127c7a504c090bhttps://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16050575
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