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March 5, 2026Nature Communications0 citationsOpen Access

Proteomics-based machine learning model for predicting secondary infection in HBV-related liver failure

FXFeixiang XiongJZJianming ZhengJCJianzhong Chen

Key Points

  • The study aims to create a proteomics-based model to predict the risk of secondary infections in patients with Hepatitis B Virus-related liver failure.
  • Conducted a prospective multicenter study with 114 patients in the discovery cohort and 60 patients each in two validation cohorts.
  • Utilized untargeted proteomics to identify proteins related to secondary infections.
  • Employed Minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance feature selection and logistic regression for model development.
  • Validated findings using targeted proteomics and ELISA in the validation cohorts.
  • The final model achieved an AUROC of 0.980 in the discovery cohort and 0.873 in validation cohorts.
  • It outperformed traditional biomarkers like C-reactive protein and white blood cell count in predicting secondary infections.
  • The model also showed improved prediction of 28-day mortality compared to CLIF-C ACLF and MELD scores.
  • ELISA results in the validation cohort confirmed consistent trends, with an ELISA-based model reaching an AUROC of 0.883.

Abstract

Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-related liver failure are highly vulnerable to secondary infections (SI), yet early predictive tools remain limited. In this work, we aim to develop and validate a plasma proteomics–based model for early SI risk assessment. In a prospective multicenter study, 114 patients are enrolled in the discovery cohort, 60 each in two validation cohorts. Untargeted proteomics is used to identify SI-related proteins, followed by Minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance based feature selection and logistic regression modeling. Targeted proteomics and ELISA are applied for external validation. Inflammatory and coagulation pathway dysregulation is strongly associated with SI. A final model including Lysozyme (LYZ), Calmodulin 1 (CALM1), Serpin Family D Member 1 (SERPIND1), Dermatopontin (DPT), total bilirubin, and AST show excellent discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.980 in discovery; 0.873 in validation), outperforming C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cell (WBC), and Neutrophil percentage (NE%). It also predicts 28-day mortality better than Chronic Liver Failure–Consortium Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure score (CLIF-C ACLF) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD). ELISA measurements in validation cohort 2 yield consistent trends, and an ELISA-based model achieve an AUROC of 0.883. This proteomics-derived model reliably identifies patients at high SI risk and supports early clinical intervention. In this work, authors develop and validate a plasma proteomics-based model for the prediction of secondary infections in hepatitis B virus-related liver failure.

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Cite This Study

Xiong et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a91dedd6127c7a504c1370https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-69075-y
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