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March 6, 2026IET conference proceedings.0 citations

Study on how to model various energy flexibilities using energy system models reflecting substation level and transmission capacity

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HHHiroshi Hamasaki

Key Points

  • The research aims to enhance energy system models by integrating substation-level transmission capacity and detailed time slicing to better capture flexibility.
  • Developed a framework incorporating 200 time slices, including 184 hourly slices for a representative summer week.
  • Implemented a two-stage approach using a conventional 16-slice model for long-term capacity expansion to 2045.
  • Assessed short-term dynamics using a 200-slice model for the year 2050.
  • Hourly granularity effectively reproduces variable renewable generation and storage behavior.
  • Simulation aligns with stringent CO₂ reduction targets of 90%.
  • Findings highlight the necessity of integrating broader flexibility sources beyond pumped storage and batteries.

Abstract

This study examines how to integrate flexibility into long-term energy system models by enhancing both temporal and spatial granularity. Traditional TIMES-based models, typically using 4–12 time slices and aggregated regional structures, cannot adequately capture renewable variability and grid constraints. To address this, we developed a framework incorporating substation-level transmission capacity and 200 time slices, including 184 hourly slices for one representative summer week. A two-stage approach was applied: first, a conventional 16-slice model simulated capacity expansion to 2045; second, a 200-slice model assessed short-term dynamics in 2050. Results demonstrate that hourly granularity reproduces variable renewable generation and storage behavior, especially under stringent CO₂ reduction (90%). While this study focused on pumped storage and batteries, broader flexibility sources such as grid expansion and electrolysis are essential future extensions. The findings indicate that integrating higher-resolution temporal and spatial structures into energy system models improves representation of flexibility needs and strengthens the robustness of decarbonization pathway assessments.

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Cite This Study

Hiroshi Hamasaki (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69aa6f3c531e4c4a9ff59487https://doi.org/10.1049/icp.2025.4557
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