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March 6, 2026Natural hazards and earth system sciences0 citationsOpen Access

Harnessing multi-source hydro-meteorological data for high flows modelling in a partially glacierized Himalayan basin

DSDomenico De SantisSBSilvia BarbettaSSS Sen

Key Points

  • The aim is to improve streamflow modelling in a flood-prone, glacier-influenced basin in the Indian Himalayas.
  • Used a conceptual, semi-distributed hydrological model with static and dynamic glacier modules.
  • Calibrated the model using multi-variable data, including satellite-based glacier water loss.
  • Addressed precipitation input bias with advanced calibration techniques.
  • Evaluated model performance against observed streamflow data.
  • The model captured key features of observed streamflow effectively.
  • Provided consistent water balance estimates, highlighting the importance of satellite data.
  • Showed that precipitation adjustment methods improved hydrological applications.
  • Identified input data errors that limited short-term streamflow prediction accuracy.

Abstract

Abstract. The southern rim of the Indian Himalayas is highly susceptible to floods during the summer monsoon, making accurate streamflow modelling critical yet difficult due to complex terrain, climate variability, and sparse ground observations. This study uses a conceptual, semi-distributed hydrological model – enhanced with both static and dynamic glacier modules – to reproduce streamflow into the Alaknanda River at Rudraprayag gauge (∼8600 km2), a representative basin in northern India. The model was calibrated using multi-variable data, including satellite-based glacier water loss and actual evapotranspiration in addition to streamflow, also to address bias in the precipitation input. Despite inherent data uncertainties and simplified process conceptualization, the tailored hydrological modelling captured key features of observed streamflow and produced internally consistent water balance estimates. Multi-variable calibration provided a more plausible representation of hydrological processes and highlighted the value of using complementary satellite-based information in data-poor mountain regions. Parsimonious precipitation adjustment approaches are proven effective for hydrological applications. However, input data errors such as unaccounted-for heavy precipitation events limited short-term streamflow prediction accuracy. The study demonstrates that a viable, parsimonious modelling strategy can still be developed for data-scarce, monsoon-dominated Himalayan basins, offering insights into the spatiotemporal dynamics of streamflow generating processes, the inter-seasonal redistribution of precipitation, the role of cryosphere contributions, and flood simulation. The approach is transferable to other monsoon-dominated, glacier-influenced, and data-limited mountain catchments facing increasing hydroclimatic risks.

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Cite This Study

Santis et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69aa7096531e4c4a9ff5a771https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1075-2026
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