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March 6, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Where AGI Confuses Change: A Recurrence–Structure Diagnostic for Autonomous Self-Improvement Claims in Artificial Intelligence

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SESerkan Elbasan

Key Points

  • The study aims to clarify claims of structural change in AGI by introducing a recurrence-structure diagnostic tool.
  • Introduced a diagnostic framework grounded in the KOGNETIK model.
  • Separated state variation from rule-class mutation under specified recurrence conditions.
  • Implemented a rule-state separation protocol as a structural admissibility gate for assessing AGI claims.
  • Identified that many AGI self-improvement narratives lead to state variation within fixed rule classes.
  • Revealed instances of structural undecidability when recurrence and structural parameters are not explicitly stated.
  • Provided a reproducible audit protocol for testing structural claims about AI systems under specified conditions.

Abstract

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) discourse frequently interprets capability growth as evidence of structural change in machine intelligence. However, many claims of “recursive self-improvement” fail to explicitly declare the recurrence conditions under which such structural change could be evaluated. This paper introduces a recurrence–structure diagnostic grounded in the KOGNETIK framework. The method separates state variation (Δx) from rule-class mutation (ΔS) under declared recurrence conditions and enforces Rule–State Separation (RSSA) as a structural admissibility gate. The protocol requires explicit declaration of: recurrence operator (R), structure object defined as an equivalence class of rule-objects (S := g~), rule–state separation conditions (RSSA), structural regime output (Ψ). Applying this diagnostic reveals that many AGI self-improvement narratives resolve either into state variation within a fixed rule class (Ψ = 0) or into structural undecidability when recurrence and structure are not formally declared. The contribution of this paper is methodological rather than evaluative: it provides a reproducible audit protocol that research laboratories can use to test structural claims about AI systems under explicit recurrence conditions. Intellectual Property & Licensing The KOGNETIK Research Series is released under the Creative Commons Attribution–NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0). All scientific works within the series may be cited, shared, and adapted for non-commercial research purposes with proper attribution. Commercial use—including consulting, advisory services, integration into commercial platforms, monetized training, certification, or system-level deployment—is not permitted under this license and requires a separate written agreement. Full license text:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ For licensing, partnerships, translations, or applied development inquiries:research@kognetik.dehttps://www.kognetik.de ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-8544-4847 Kognetik Series Information KOGNETIK — Minimal Operator Definition of Reflexivity (Ψ = ∂S/∂R) Reflexivity as structural rate-of-change:Ψ = ∂S/∂R measures structural drift under recurrence. Process, not state:Reflexivity specifies a transformation rule rather than a content or level. Domain-independent operator:Applicable across biological, cognitive, artificial, social, industrial, and geophysical systems. Non-ascriptive and empirically testable:Ψ enables comparative analysis of systems via observable structure and recurrence. Higher-order phenomena as specifications:Learning, adaptation, consciousness, governance, and identity are structured regimes of Ψ.

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Cite This Study

Serkan Elbasan (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69aa70b8531e4c4a9ff5ac01https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18861439
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