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March 6, 2026Cancers0 citationsOpen Access

Cervical Cytology and HPV16/18/45 mRNA Co-Testing Improve Risk Stratification in Routine Clinical Practice

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SSSveinung Wergeland SørbyeBFBente Marie FalangMAMona Antonsen

Key Points

  • This research evaluates the effectiveness of co-testing with cervical cytology and HPV mRNA assays in improving risk stratification for cervical cancer.
  • Retrospective, registry-based cohort study
  • Evaluated eligible co-test samples from routine clinical practice
  • Analyzed outcomes including CIN2+, CIN3+, and cervical cancer
  • Followed histological outcomes through December 2025
  • 4.4% cumulative risk for CIN2+, 1.5% for CIN3+, and 0.1% for cervical cancer among 116,217 samples
  • Double-negative results had a CIN3+ risk of 0.2% and cervical cancer risk of 0.02%
  • Progressive risk shown from ASC-US+/mRNA− (CIN3+ risk 4.1%) to double-positive (CIN3+ risk 28.5%) results
  • HPV mRNA positivity identified significant cases of CIN3+ and cervical cancer within NILM

Abstract

Background/Objectives: Co-testing may improve cervical cancer prevention by stratifying women into groups with different absolute risks of CIN2+, CIN3+, and cervical cancer. We evaluated real-world co-testing with cervical cytology and a genotype-specific HPV E6/E7 mRNA assay targeting HPV16, HPV18, and HPV45 (PreTect SEE) in routine clinical practice. Methods: We conducted a retrospective, registry-based cohort study at the Department of Clinical Pathology, University Hospital of North Norway. Eligible co-test samples (liquid-based cytology with concurrent HPV mRNA testing, both with valid results) from routine screening, follow-up, and clinically indicated testing were identified from the laboratory information system and passively followed for worst histological outcome through December 2025. Outcomes were no biopsy/<CIN2, CIN2+, CIN3+, and cervical cancer. Results: Among 116,217 eligible co-test samples (mean age 43.9 years), cumulative risks were 4.4% for CIN2+, 1.5% for CIN3+, and 0.1% for cervical cancer. Baseline HPV mRNA positivity was 3.9%, and cytology was ASC-US+ in 12.2% of samples. Co-testing produced a clear stepwise risk gradient. Double-negative results (NILM/mRNA−; 86.7%) had very low risks (CIN3+ 0.2%; cervical cancer 0.02%). ASC-US+/mRNA− results (9.3%) showed intermediate risks (CIN3+ 4.1%; cervical cancer 0.2%). NILM/mRNA+ results (1.1%) showed substantially higher risks despite normal cytology (CIN3+ 13.0%; cervical cancer 0.5%). Double-positive results (ASC-US+/mRNA+; 2.8%) had the highest risks (CIN3+ 28.5%; cervical cancer 2.3%). Within NILM, mRNA positivity captured 42.7% of CIN3+ cases and 25.0% of cancers. Genotype-specific analyses showed highest risks for HPV16, followed by HPV18 and HPV45. Conclusions: Co-testing with cervical cytology and a 3-type HPV mRNA assay provided strong, clinically interpretable risk stratification and identified a small but high-risk subgroup among women with normal cytology. These findings support genotype-specific HPV mRNA testing as an adjunct to cytology in routine care.

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Cite This Study

Sørbye et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69aa70b8531e4c4a9ff5ac4chttps://doi.org/10.3390/cancers18050834
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