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March 10, 2026Journal of Economic Geography0 citations

Political rotation of city leaders and unrelated diversification in China

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SZShengjun ZhuZLZiliang LiuXHXiaohui Hu

Key Points

  • To examine how the rotation of political leaders affects regions' ability to diversify into unrelated economic activities.
  • Analyzed micro-level data on exports and investments across Chinese cities.
  • Compared economic activities introduced by locally promoted leaders versus rotated leaders.
  • Assessed the relationship between leader mobility and economic performance.
  • Rotated leaders introduced more unrelated economic activities compared to local leaders.
  • Cities with rotated leaders showed better economic performance.
  • Political connections of leaders influenced their ability to leverage new knowledge and investments.

Abstract

Abstract Recent studies stressed that external actors can help regions diversify into unrelated economic activities, but none has examined the role of the mobility of political leaders. Using micro-level data on China’s exports, investments, and city leaders, we find that, compared with leaders promoted locally, leaders who are rotated across cities introduce more unrelated activities, which further leads to better economic performance. Like other external actors, rotated leaders can also bring new knowledge and investments. Unlike other external actors, they are political actors. Whether they can translate new knowledge/investments into unrelated diversification is dependent on their political connections.

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Cite This Study

Zhu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69af959570916d39fea4d550https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbag015
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