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March 13, 2026iLABMED0 citationsOpen Access

A Machine Learning Model Based on Blood Indices for the Differential Diagnosis of Colorectal Cancer and Colorectal Polyps

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WYWei YanLZLin ZhuHWHongming Wei

Key Points

  • This study aims to develop a diagnostic model using blood indices to distinguish between colorectal cancer and colorectal polyps.
  • Conducted a retrospective analysis of data from 284 CRC patients and 79 polyp patients.
  • Utilized the XGBoost machine learning algorithm for model development.
  • Analyzed feature importance using the Shapley additive explanation method.
  • Achieved a precision of 0.906 in differentiating CRC from polyps.
  • Recorded a recall of 0.817 and an accuracy of 0.791.
  • The area under the ROC curve was 0.869, indicating strong diagnostic ability.

Abstract

ABSTRACT Background With high colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence, accurate early differentiation of precancerous polyps is critical for prognosis; while the gold‐standard colonoscopy‐biopsy is limited by invasiveness, cost and poor scalability, and routine blood tests lack efficiency with simple indicator combinations, machine learning's feature‐mining capacity offers a solution. This study aimed to develop and evaluate a machine learning system for differentiating patients with CRC and colorectal polyps using routine blood indices. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 284 patients with CRC and 79 patients with colorectal polyps who were diagnosed at the Chinese PLA General Hospital from October 2021 to February 2024. The extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm was used to establish a machine learning model using demographic characteristics and routine blood indices. The Shapley additive explanation method was used to evaluate feature importance. Results The constructed XGBoost model achieved high levels in differentiating CRC and colorectal polyps, with a precision of 0.906, a recall of 0.817, an accuracy of 0.791, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.869. The Shapley additive explanation showed that the top five important features were fibrinogen, carcinoembryonic antigen, plasma thrombin time, ferritin, and D‐dimer. Conclusion The XGBoost machine learning model based on blood indices has certain application value in the differential diagnosis of CRC and colorectal polyps, providing a new efficient tool for auxiliary diagnosis to assist clinical decision‐making.

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Cite This Study

Yan et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b3ace502a1e69014ccef85https://doi.org/10.1002/ila2.70049
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