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March 21, 2026Journal of Electric Propulsion0 citationsOpen Access

Surrogate modeling and real-time optimization of propellant mixtures for hall thrusters

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PTPeter ThoreauAJA. JohansenMHMichael Holmes

Key Points

  • The aim is to optimize propellant mixtures for Hall effect thrusters to minimize mission costs.
  • Applied Bayesian optimization using a Gaussian Process Regression model
  • Utilized experimental telemetry data for real-time model updates
  • Considered a notional asteroid-rendezvous mission for optimization goals
  • Found a mixture ratio of 11:87:2 reduces total mission cost by 7% compared to pure xenon
  • Identified dependence of optimal mixtures on storage technologies and price fluctuations
  • Results align with trends in commercial market towards cheaper propellants

Abstract

A method is proposed for autonomous modeling and optimization of an electric thruster that applies Bayesian optimization on a Gaussian Process Regression model generated in real time from experimental telemetry. The method can be combined with a prescribed objective function and optimization scheme to optimize the thruster for different mission objectives. A notional asteroid-rendezvous mission powered by a Hall effect thruster is considered as an example where the goal of the optimization is to find the propellant gas mixture (argon:krypton:xenon) that minimizes overall mission cost. The results show that a thruster running on a mixture ratio of 11:87:2 benefits from a 7% reduction in total cost compared to the same thruster running on pure xenon. Analysis of the model reveals how the optimal propellant mixture depends strongly on propellant storage technologies, fluctuations in propellant price, and launch costs. Results from this analysis match trends seen in the commercial market with the move to cheaper propellants.

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Cite This Study

Thoreau et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69be36bf6e48c4981c675dd2https://doi.org/10.1007/s44205-026-00188-8
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