Does the SOFA-2 score improve mortality prediction compared to SOFA-1 in critically ill patients?
Critically ill adult patients (≥ 18 years) with their first ICU admission, median age 66, 56.2% male
SOFA-2 score
SOFA-1 score
ICU mortalityhard clinical
SOFA-2 provides superior discrimination over SOFA-1 for predicting ICU mortality in a high-acuity US cohort, supporting its broad applicability in critical care.
We validated the SOFA-2 score against the SOFA-1 score using 65,366 critically ill patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. SOFA-2 demonstrated superior discrimination for ICU mortality (AUROC: 0.829 95% CI 0.823–0.835 vs. 0.796 0.789–0.803) and in-hospital mortality (0.789 0.783–0.794 vs. 0.763 0.757–0.769) compared with SOFA-1. Of 65,366 patients, 40,990 (62.7%) were reclassified to higher scores under SOFA-2. Within each SOFA-1 stratum, those assigned higher SOFA-2 scores consistently demonstrated higher ICU mortality, confirming clinically meaningful reclassification. These findings provide additional external validation supporting the advantages of SOFA-2 for risk stratification in critically ill patients.
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Songjie Bai
Meiling Huang
Hui Chen
Journal of Intensive Care
Nanchang University
Wenzhou Medical University
First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University
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Bai et al. (Tue,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/69c4cc98fdc3bde448917f8a — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40560-026-00875-6
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