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March 29, 2026Smart Cities7 citationsOpen Access

Advanced Multivariate Deep Learning Methodology for Forecasting Wind Speed and Solar Irradiation

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MSMd ShafiullahAKAbdul Rahman KatranjiMHMannan Hassan

Key Points

  • The aim is to improve prediction accuracy of wind speed and solar irradiation using deep learning without requiring onsite measurements.
  • Developed multivariate deep neural networks including recurrent neural networks and LSTM.
  • Utilized timestamp records as input features for predictions.
  • Conducted forecasting for wind speed and global horizontal irradiance.
  • Achieved R2 values up to 0.9987 for wind speed predictions.
  • Reduced RMSE to 0.067 m/s for wind speed forecasting three days ahead.
  • Attained R2 above 0.9994 for GHI predictions with RMSE around 4.47 W/m2.

Abstract

The transition to smart cities is accelerating distributed wind and solar deployment. However, their intermittency challenges grid operation, thereby making accurate machine-learning-based prediction of wind speed and global horizontal irradiance (GHI) crucial. This study presents a cost-effective approach that enhances prediction accuracy by extracting additional features from timestamp records for deep learning models used to forecast GHI and wind speed. Unlike conventional methods that require onsite meteorological measurements, the proposed approach uses only date and time information as inputs to multivariate deep neural networks, including recurrent neural networks, gated recurrent units, long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM, and convolutional neural networks. For wind speed prediction, the proposed configuration achieves R2 up to 0.9987, with RMSE as low as 0.067 m/s for 3 d ahead forecasting, outperforming univariate baselines and matching models. For GHI forecasting, the time-based configuration attains R2 values above 0.9994 in 12 h ahead predictions, with the RMSE reduced to approximately 4.47 W/m2, representing a substantial improvement over univariate models. The proposed framework maintains strong performance, particularly under clear and sunny conditions. These results demonstrate that timestamp-engineered features can deliver forecasting accuracy comparable to conventional multivariate meteorological models while significantly reducing infrastructure requirements, making the approach well-suited for scalable smart city energy management.

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Cite This Study

Shafiullah et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69c8c28cde0f0f753b39cf49https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities9040059
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