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March 29, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Application of a predictive machine-learning model to forecast sewer’s pipes condition. A case study in Lausanne, Switzerland

FPFrancesco Del PuntaHSHauke SonnenbergADAntoine Daurat

Key Points

  • The aim is to predict the condition of sewer pipes using a machine learning model based on various data sources.
  • Applied a Random Forest classifier for predictions.
  • Utilized structural, operational, and environmental data of sewer pipes.
  • Evaluated model performance with custom metrics compared to Berlin's system.
  • Model showed promising accuracy despite class imbalance issues.
  • Results indicated potential as a decision-making tool for prioritizing inspections.

Abstract

This study explores the application of a machine learning model, specifically a Random Forest classifier, to predict the condition of uninspected pipes using available structural, operational, and environmental data. Originally developed for Berlin, Germany, the model has been adapted and applied to the sewer network of Lausanne, Switzerland. Model performance was evaluated using custom metrics, with results compared to previous applications in Berlin. Despite challenges related to class imbalance, the model demonstrated promising accuracy, supporting its potential as a decision making tool for inspection prioritization.

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Cite This Study

Punta et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69c8c336de0f0f753b39dd4chttps://doi.org/10.71573/z36dgw29
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