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March 31, 2026Real Estate Economics1 citationsOpen Access

The effect of nearby listings on house sale prices in Sydney: A spatio‐temporal regularization approach

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WSWillem P. SijpMLMengheng Li

Key Points

  • The research aims to estimate how nearby concurrently listed properties influence house sale prices in Sydney.
  • Applied a hedonic model with spatiotemporal regularization
  • Utilized graph Laplacian prior at the SA2 regional level
  • Focused on seven SA4 subregions of metropolitan Sydney
  • Controlled for local trends in a sparse data environment
  • An additional active listing within 250 m reduces sale price by 0.5%–1.3%
  • 0.3%–0.9% of the price reduction reflects the competition effect
  • Nearby settled listings had no consistent price effect
  • Price discount is driven by buyer perceptions of alternatives
  • Effect is strongest in middle-tier regions like Parramatta and Blacktown

Abstract

Abstract We estimate the price impact of very nearby concurrently listed properties in the Sydney housing market and assess their competition effects. We apply a hedonic model with spatiotemporal effects regularized via a graph Laplacian prior at the month‐by‐SA2 regional level to seven SA4 subregions of metropolitan Sydney. The model structure enables localized identification of the effect of nearby active listings, while controlling for local trends in a data sparse environment. We find that an additional active listing within 250 m reduces the sale price by 0.5%–1.3%, of which 0.3%–0.9% reflects the estimated competition effect when compared to the impact of listings further away. In contrast, nearby listings that have been settled show no consistent effect, highlighting that the price discount arises from buyer perceptions of competing alternatives during the active sale window, rather than supply conditions. The effect is strongest in middle‐tier regions such as Parramatta and Blacktown, and weaker in the inner core and outer fringe. These findings are relevant to sellers and agents, as very nearby competing listings that are active at the time of sale arise in 10%–25% of cases in Sydney.

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Cite This Study

Sijp et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69cb650ee6a8c024954b9240https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6229.70046
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