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April 3, 2026npj natural hazards.0 citationsOpen Access

Continental United States direct Atlantic tropical cyclone fatalities: 1963–2024

JMJoanne MullerAIAbigail Marie IdzikDBDylan Benzi

Key Points

  • To develop a comprehensive database on tropical cyclone fatalities in the U.S. from 1963 to 2024 and analyze trends in mortality patterns.
  • Compiled a publicly accessible database of tropical cyclone fatalities from 1963 to 2024
  • Categorized fatalities by cause, including freshwater flood and storm surge
  • Analyzed the relationship between fatality rates and seasonal accumulated cyclone energy
  • Freshwater floods account for 36% of tropical cyclone fatalities, while storm surges account for 33%
  • 10% of storms resulted in multiple freshwater flood fatalities, compared to only 3% for storm surge
  • High fatality years were linked to increased seasonal accumulated cyclone energy, while low fatality years showed a decrease.

Abstract

Tropical cyclone (TC) fatality attribution is critical for understanding changing risk patterns, warning effectiveness, and informing emergency management strategies. Despite this, publicly available TC fatality time series data are incomplete. The last publication on TC fatalities, broken down by peril, spanned 1963–2012. To extend this record and capture more recent trends in TC mortality patterns, we present a publicly accessible fatalities database of direct continental United States TC fatalities spanning 1963–2024. We find that the leading cause of TC fatalities is freshwater flood (36%) followed by storm surge (33%). Freshwater flood fatalities are common across storms (10% of storms have >1 fatality), whereas surge fatalities are concentrated in a smaller number of high-impact events (3% of storms have >1 fatality). We also note that high fatality years tend to coincide with high seasonal Atlantic accumulated cyclone energy, with low fatality years coinciding with lower seasonal accumulated cyclone energy.

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Cite This Study

Muller et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69cf58cb5a333a8214609acfhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-00178-8
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