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April 3, 2026Ocean Engineering0 citationsOpen Access

Forward dynamic programming-informed Bayesian method for optimal power allocation in short-sea shipping

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DVDaniel VergaraSFShanshan FuWMWengang Mao

Key Points

  • The research aims to optimize propulsion power allocation in short-sea shipping to reduce fuel consumption and meet operational constraints.
  • Proposes a discrete-to-continuous optimization framework for power allocation.
  • Employs a modified parallel coupling dynamic programming approach to generate feasible solutions.
  • Utilizes constraint-aware Bayesian optimization to refine power allocation strategies.
  • Validates the framework using full-scale measurements from four chemical tanker voyages.
  • Achieves up to 9% average reduction in fuel consumption.
  • Demonstrates a tenfold reduction in computational cost compared to explicit constraint methods.
  • Improvements include around 3% additional fuel savings over traditional dynamic programming.

Abstract

• Discrete-to-continuous optimization method is proposed to enhance power allocation. • Constraint-aware Bayesian optimization improves convergence rate and stability. • Full-scale measurements are used in this study for comparison. • Up to about 5–10% energy reduction is achieved by the proposed method. Optimising propulsion power along a ship’s voyage is critical for energy efficient voyage planning, as it enables the distribution of propulsion settings along a route to minimise fuel consumption while satisfying operational constraints such as target arrival time. This study proposes a structured discrete-to-continuous optimisation framework to enhance propulsion power allocation strategies. Feasible solutions generated by a modified parallel coupling dynamic programming approach serve as prior knowledge (PCDP), and are subsequently refined using constraint-aware Bayesian optimisation (BO). When combined with a smooth exponential penalty function (BO+EP), the Bayesian optimiser embeds convex constraints directly within the optimisation process, improving convergence behaviour. The framework is validated using full-scale data from four voyages of a chemical tanker. Results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves a tenfold reduction in computational cost compared with explicit constraint (EC), while providing up to around 3% additional fuel savings compared with dynamic programming. Overall, the proposed power allocation strategy reduces fuel consumption by up to 9% on average while satisfying arrival time requirements.

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Cite This Study

Vergara et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69cf5dc55a333a821460bb54https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2026.125082
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