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April 3, 2026Australian Journal of Management0 citations

Negative interest rates and bank credit risk-taking

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ZDZixuan DaiLXLei XuCKChandra Krishnamurti

Key Points

  • This research aims to explore how negative interest rate policies influence bank credit risk-taking behavior.
  • Analyzed a dataset of 1958 banks from 29 OECD countries from 2011 to 2017.
  • Employed triple difference (TD) methodology to assess the impact of NIRP.
  • Utilized quadruple difference (QD) model and propensity score matching (PSM) for robustness checks.
  • Banks in countries with NIRP showed reduced loan loss provisioning.
  • The effects of NIRP varied based on inflation, bank size, and specialization.

Abstract

We examine the impact of the negative interest rate policy (NIRP) on bank credit risk-taking. Employing a triple difference (TD) methodology and a dataset of 1958 banks from 29 member countries of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) over 2011–2017, we find that banks in countries adopting NIRP exhibit a contraction in loan loss provisioning. Moreover, this NIRP effect depends on country- and bank-specific characteristics such as inflation, bank size, and bank specialisation. We also employ other methods, such as the quadruple difference (QD) model and propensity score matching (PSM), to check the robustness of our findings from the TD model. JEL Classification: E43, G21, G28

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Cite This Study

Dai et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69cf5fe05a333a821460ea8ehttps://doi.org/10.1177/03128962261428501
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