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April 8, 2026Asian Politics & Policy0 citations

Navigating Power Rivalry: Small South Asian States in China–India Competition

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ZAZahid Shahab AhmedSBSalman Ali Bettani

Key Points

  • The study investigates how small South Asian states have adjusted their foreign policies in the context of the expanding Sino-Indian rivalry.
  • Analysis of foreign policy adjustments since the Belt and Road Initiative's initiation in 2013
  • Examination of strategic behaviors of small states towards China and India
  • Evaluation of economic and political strategies employed by these states
  • Small South Asian states are shifting from aligning closely with India to a hedging strategy involving both China and India
  • These states are leveraging investments from China while maintaining strategic ties with India
  • Small states are pursuing strategic autonomy to maximize economic benefits and minimize dependency on either major power

Abstract

ABSTRACT As China's influence expands in South Asia through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), small states face the challenge of navigating Sino‐Indian rivalry. While there is erstwhile work on the implications of this growing Sino‐India rivalry on South Asia, there is limited analysis of how small South Asian states have been adjusting their foreign policies. This study examines how small states have adapted their strategies since the BRI's initiation in 2013. This study argues that there is a shift from traditional bandwagoning with India to hedging between India and China. By leveraging Chinese economic investments and India's strategic ties, such states pursue strategic autonomy, maximizing economic benefits while minimizing dependency. Understanding these evolving strategies offers insights into the agency of small states by demonstrating their ability to operate between major powers by safeguarding their national interests.

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Cite This Study

Ahmed et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d5f00974eaea4b11a798b9https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.70074
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