The capacitance of the DC link is an important variable for the prediction of remaining useful life and failures in frequency inverters. The direct measurement of the DC-link capacitance in inverters operating under load is technically challenging and generally impractical. Recently, a great focus has been given to data-based soft sensors for estimating this variable. These methods, however, are evaluated based only on the estimate errors, and do not take into account the metrological aspects of these estimators. This paper proposes an uncertainty analysis method based on Monte Carlo simulations and bootstrapping that can be applied to all recently published methods for end-of-life (EOL) estimation based on data-driven regression and neural networks. A state-of-the-art model of EOL monitoring based on capacitance estimation was evaluated using the proposed framework, and an experimental study with a frequency converter drive for a brushless DC motor was performed, considering multiple output frequencies, loads and DC-link capacitance conditions. The output distributions are not symmetrical and show that the variable with the most significant impact in the propagated uncertainty is the DC link voltage. The results show confidence interval widths ranging from 12 μF to 61 μF, with wider confidence intervals obtained at higher power setpoints.
Claudino et al. (Sat,) studied this question.
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