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April 8, 2026Geophysical Research Letters0 citationsOpen Access

A Physics‐Informed Neural Network Approach to the Gannon Storm

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MLManuel LacalECE. CamporealeMPMirko Piersanti

Key Points

  • The study aims to model the Gannon storm's dynamics and improve forecasting using Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs).
  • Applied PINNs to the Burton equation for storm modeling.
  • Utilized an ensemble approach with Random Fourier Features.
  • Studied temporal evolution of the SuperMAG SMR index during the storm.
  • Solved the inverse problem to find optimal coupling parameters.
  • Identified physically motivated merging functions for energy injection.
  • Demonstrated electric field proxies improve global model fit.
  • Showed PINNs automate model discovery and validate physical hypotheses.

Abstract

Abstract Extreme geomagnetic storms, such as the May 2024 Gannon event, pose significant risks to technological infrastructure, requiring robust forecasting models. Here, we apply Physics‐Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) to the Burton equation to model the storm's ring current dynamics by studying the temporal evolution of the SuperMAG SMR index during the Gannon storm. By solving the inverse problem, we determine optimal parameters for multiple solar wind‐magnetosphere coupling functions while enforcing physical consistency. We use an ensemble PINN approach with Random Fourier Features to capture high‐frequency fluctuations in the index and quantify epistemic uncertainties. Our comparative analysis reveals that physically motivated merging functions best describe the main phase energy injection, whereas electric field proxies maximize the global fit. These findings demonstrate that PINNs effectively automate model discovery and validate physical hypotheses crucial for the development of next‐generation for operational space weather forecasting tools.

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Cite This Study

Lacal et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d5f0d774eaea4b11a7a4b8https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl121605
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