Hierarchical Spectral Modelling of Pasture Nutrition: From Laboratory to Sentinel-2 via UAV Hyperspectral

This study demonstrates a hierarchical spectral modelling approach for predicting pasture nutrition metrics using TabPFN (Tabular Prior-Data Fitted Network), a transformer-based machine learning architecture. In the face of climate variability, aligning stocking rates with pasture resources is crucial for sustainable livestock grazing, requiring accurate assessments of both pasture biomass and nutrient composition. Our research, conducted across diverse growth stages at five tropical and subtropical savanna rangeland properties in Queensland, Australia, with native and introduced C4 grasses, employed a hierarchical sampling and modelling strategy that scales from laboratory spectroscopy to Sentinel-2 satellite predictions via uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) hyperspectral imaging. Spectral data were collected from leaf (laboratory spectroscopy) through field (point measurements), UAV hyperspectral imaging, and Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. Traditional laboratory wet chemistry methods determined plant leaf and stem nutrient content, from which crude protein (CP = total nitrogen (TN) × 6.25) and dry matter digestibility (DMD = 88.9–0.779 × acid detergent fibre (ADF)) were derived. TabPFN models were trained at each spatial scale, achieving validation R2 of 0.76 for crude protein at the leaf scale, 0.95 at the UAV scale, and 0.92 at the Sentinel-2 satellite scale. For dry matter digestibility, validation R2 was 0.88 at the UAV scale and 0.73 at the Sentinel-2 scale. A pasture classification masking approach using a deep neural network with 98.6% accuracy (7 classes) was implemented to focus predictions on productive pasture areas, excluding bare soil and woody vegetation. The Sentinel-2 models were trained on 462 samples from 19 site–date combinations across 11 field sites. The TabPFN architecture provided notable advantages over traditional neural networks: no hyperparameter tuning required, faster training, and superior generalisation from limited training samples. These results demonstrate the potential for accurate and efficient prediction and mapping of pasture quality across large areas (100 s–1000 s km2) using freely available satellite imagery and open-source machine learning frameworks.