Nirsevimab immunization averted 83 to 1162 RSV hospitalizations per 100,000 children and generated cost savings between €10,924 and €266,954 per center in most Italian pediatric hospitals.
Does nirsevimab immunization reduce RSV hospitalizations and healthcare costs in children?
Children 18 years and younger with RSV-specific hospitalizations across 19 pediatric hospitals in 11 Italian regions (n=5924 hospitalizations recorded during the 2024 to 2025 season).
Regional nirsevimab immunization campaigns with varying start dates and eligibility criteria, implemented between October 2024 and January 2025.
Model-based counterfactual predictions of expected hospitalizations in the absence of immunization (based on precampaign data).
Effectiveness (hospitalizations averted) and incremental costs from the Italian National Health Service perspective, and cost-effectiveness ratios.
Real-world implementation of nirsevimab immunization in Italy effectively reduced pediatric RSV hospitalizations and was cost-saving for the health system.
ImportanceRespiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of lower respiratory tract infections in infants and young children, imposing a substantial burden on health care systems. Nirsevimab, a long-acting monoclonal antibody, has shown high efficacy in clinical trials, and modeling studies suggest it may be cost-effective; however, real-world evidence on its cost-effectiveness in European health care settings remains limited. ObjectiveTo evaluate the real-world cost-effectiveness of nirsevimab immunization in preventing pediatric hospitalizations due to RSV. Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis multicenter, observational, real-world cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted between October 1, 2022, and March 31, 2025. Precampaign data were modeled using Poisson regression models to estimate expected hospitalizations in the absence of immunization. Data were gathered from 19 pediatric hospitals distributed across 11 Italian regions, from northern to southern areas. Included were all pediatric hospitalizations with RSV-specificInternational Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modificationdischarge diagnoses recorded at participating hospitals between October 1, 2022, and March 31, 2025. ExposuresRegional nirsevimab immunization campaigns with varying start dates and eligibility criteria, implemented between October 2024 and January 2025. Main Outcomes and MeasuresEffectiveness, expressed as hospitalizations averted (ΔE), and incremental costs (ΔC) were estimated from the Italian National Health Service perspective. Cost-effectiveness ratios (CERs = ΔC/ΔE) were calculated for each center. ResultsDuring the 2024 to 2025 season, 5924 RSV-related hospitalizations were recorded in children 18 years and younger across 19 centers. Observed admissions were consistently lower than model-based counterfactual predictions in most centers. Immunization averted between 6 and 151 admissions per center, corresponding to a rate of 83 and 1162 per 100 000 children. Incremental costs were negative in most centers, indicating cost savings ranging from −€10 924 (US 12 562. 60) to −€266 954 (US 306 997. 10) per center. Corresponding cost-effectiveness ratios were negative (−€1071 US 1231. 65 and −€1682 (US 1934. 30), reflecting a cost-saving intervention. In 2 centers with late initiation and restricted eligibility, immunization was associated with higher costs relative to the number of hospitalizations prevented, with incremental costs of €19 715 (US 22 672. 25) and €81 454 (US 93 672. 10). Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of results. Conclusions and RelevanceResults of this Italian multicenter, real-world economic evaluation suggest that nirsevimab immunization was both clinically effective and cost saving from a health system perspective. Timing and eligibility of immunization strongly influenced cost-effectiveness, highlighting the importance of early and broad rollout strategies to maximize clinical and economic benefits.
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Attaianese et al. (Mon,) reported a other. Nirsevimab immunization averted 83 to 1162 RSV hospitalizations per 100,000 children and generated cost savings between €10,924 and €266,954 per center in most Italian pediatric hospitals.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/69df2ba0e4eeef8a2a6b0a06 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2026.0657
Federica Attaianese
Giulia Carreras
Sandra Trapani
JAMA Pediatrics
University of Milan
University of Padua
University of Bologna
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