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April 16, 2026Heart0 citations

Prognostic value of transaortic flow rate compared with ejection fraction and stroke volume index in low-gradient severe aortic stenosis

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MAM A AllamCECecilia Villa EtchegoyenSASaid Alsidawi

Key Result

Low transaortic flow rate was an independent predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality (HR 2.38; 95% CI 1.19 to 4.76, p=0.014) in patients with symptomatic low-gradient severe aortic stenosis.

Key Points

  • This analysis investigates if the transaortic flow rate (TAFR) provides better prognostic value than established measures in severe aortic stenosis patients.
  • Retrospective patient identification with low-gradient severe aortic stenosis who underwent treatment at Mayo Clinic (2017-2023).
  • Defined primary outcome as 1-year all-cause mortality.
  • Utilized Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models to assess survival and risk factors.
  • Out of 475 patients, low TAFR significantly correlated with higher 1-year mortality rates.
  • Multivariate analysis identified low TAFR as an independent mortality predictor (HR 2.38; p=0.014).
  • TAFR was a more reliable measure of flow status compared to ejection fraction and stroke volume index for clinical prognosis.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=475)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does low transaortic flow rate predict 1-year mortality better than ejection fraction and stroke volume index in patients with symptomatic low-gradient severe aortic stenosis undergoing TAVR?

P
Population
475 patients with symptomatic low-gradient severe aortic stenosis (AVA ≤1 cm² and peak velocity <4 m/s or mean gradient <40 mm Hg) who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement at Mayo Clinic sites (2017–2023). Mean age 85±8 years, 49% women.
I
Intervention
Transaortic flow rate (TAFR) <220 mL/s as a prognostic marker
C
Comparator
Ejection fraction (EF) <50% and stroke volume index (SVI) <35 mL/m²
O
Outcome
1-year all-cause mortalityhard clinical

In patients with symptomatic low-gradient severe aortic stenosis undergoing TAVR, low transaortic flow rate is an independent predictor of 1-year mortality, outperforming traditional volume-based metrics like LVEF and SVI.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 2.38 (95% CI 1.19 to 4.76)

p-value: p=0.014

Abstract

Background In low-gradient severe aortic stenosis (AS), reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF <50%) is practically used to define low flow and prompt dobutamine stress echocardiography to discern pseudo-severe AS. In patients with preserved LVEF, stroke volume index (SVI) <35 mL/m² is typically used. However, both are volume-based surrogates. Transaortic flow rate (TAFR), calculated as stroke volume divided by left ventricular ejection time, may better reflect true flow. Nonetheless, comparative data between TAFR and established metrics remain limited. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of TAFR in symptomatic low-gradient severe AS. Methods We retrospectively identified patients with low-gradient severe AS (AVA ≤1 cm 2 and peak velocity (Vmax) <4 m/s or mean gradient (MG) <40 mm Hg) who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement at Mayo Clinic sites (2017–2023). The primary outcome was 1-year all-cause mortality. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models. Results Among 475 patients included (mean age 85±8 years; 49% women), 242 (51%) had TAFR <220 mL/s, 165 (35%) had EF <50%, and 221 (47%) had SVI <35 mL/m 2 . Low TAFR was significantly associated with higher 1-year mortality even after stratifying by EF or SVI. In multivariate analysis, TAFR was an independent predictor of mortality (HR 2.38; 95% CI 1.19 to 4.76, p=0.014) after adjusting for reduced LVEF, low SVI, gender, chronic kidney disease and mitral and tricuspid regurgitation. Conclusions In patients with symptomatic low-gradient severe AS, low TAFR, not SVI or LVEF, is independently associated with mortality and may offer more accurate measure of flow state for clinical staging.

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Cite This Study

Allam et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in symptomatic low-gradient severe aortic stenosis (n=475). Transaortic flow rate (TAFR) vs. Ejection fraction and stroke volume index was evaluated on 1-year all-cause mortality (HR 2.38, 95% CI 1.19 to 4.76, p=0.014). Low transaortic flow rate was an independent predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality (HR 2.38; 95% CI 1.19 to 4.76, p=0.014) in patients with symptomatic low-gradient severe aortic stenosis.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e07e3b2f7e8953b7cbf3b8https://doi.org/10.1136/heartjnl-2025-327594
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