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April 18, 2026COVID0 citationsOpen Access

Risk and Protective Factors for Long COVID Incidence in the Borriana COVID-19 Cohort from 2020 to 2023: A Prospective Population-Based Cohort Study

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SDSalvador Domènech-MontoliuOPOscar Pérez-OlasoDSDiego Sala-Trull

Key Points

  • This research aims to estimate the incidence of Long COVID and identify its risk and protective factors in a specific cohort.
  • Conducted a prospective population-based cohort study over 40 months.
  • Followed the Borriana COVID-19 cohort in Spain from May 2020 to August 2023.
  • Utilized inverse probability-weighted regression adjustment in the statistical analysis.
  • A total of 722 participants, with 184 developing Long COVID, resulting in a cumulative incidence of 28.6%.
  • Significant risk factors include older age, female sex, and chronic diseases.
  • Asymptomatic COVID-19 infections and vaccinations were found to be protective factors.

Abstract

Background and Objective: After SARS-CoV-2 infection, Long COVID (LC) syndrome has occurred in a high proportion of patients, affecting their health. The aim of this study was to estimate the incidence of LC, as well as its risk and protective factors. Materials and Methods: We conducted a prospective population-based cohort study of the Borriana COVID-19 cohort (Castellon Province, Valencia Community, Spain) from May 2020 to August 2023, with a follow-up of 40 months, using the LC definition given by the World Health Organization. Inverse probability-weighted regression adjustment was applied in the statistical analysis. Results: With a participation rate of 63.8% and a total of 722 participants, the mean age was 37.7 ± 17.4 years, and 460 (62.3%) were female. Among them, 644 had experienced a SARS-CoV-2 infection, and 184 developed LC, corresponding to a cumulative incidence of 28.6%. At the time of follow-up, 135 patients remained affected by LC, and one LC-related death was recorded. Significant risk factors for LC included older age, female sex, being part of a small family, having a chronic disease, SARS-CoV-2 exposure, and disease severity. Asymptomatic COVID-19 infection and SARS-CoV-2 vaccination were significantly protective factors. Conclusions: A substantial incidence of LC was observed, along with a low recovery rate. Several risk and protective factors were identified. Continued follow-up of this cohort, improved medical care for patients with non-recovered LC, ongoing surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 infections, and vaccination of the at-risk populations against SARS-CoV-2 are recommended.

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Cite This Study

Domènech-Montoliu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e320e740886becb65400d5https://doi.org/10.3390/covid6040068
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