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April 18, 2026Finance research letters0 citationsOpen Access

Systemic risk of the Chinese banks at different frequencies: evidence from the wavelet conditional value at risk (CoVaR)

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JJJunhua JiangCMCong MaVPVanja Piljak

Key Points

  • This research aims to assess the systemic risks of Chinese banks across different frequencies and identify key factors affecting these risks.
  • Examined systemic risks of Chinese banks from 2007-2022.
  • Utilized wavelet conditional value at risk (CoVaR) to analyze risks.
  • Assessed effects of bank-specific factors like profitability and leverage on systemic risks.
  • Compared long-term risks across different bank sizes and types.
  • Medium-sized banks contribute the highest to medium- and long-term systemic risks.
  • GDP growth rate and bank size are significant determinants of long-term systemic risks.
  • City commercial banks exhibit the lowest level of systemic risks.
  • Profitability, leverage, and loan quality impact aggregate and short-term systemic risks.

Abstract

• We examine the systemic risks of the Chinese banks at different frequencies • We analyze the factors affecting the systemic risks • Medium-sized banks show the highest medium- and long-term systemic risk contributions • GDP growth rate and bank size are the main determinants of long-term systemic risks We analyze the systemic risks of the Chinese banks at different frequencies from 2007-2022 by utilizing the wavelet conditional value at risk (CoVaR) method. Furthermore, we examine the factors affecting the systemic risks. For the medium- and long-term systemic risks, we find that medium-sized banks and large state-owned banks show larger risk contributions, while city commercial banks demonstrate the lowest level of systemic risks. Profitability, leverage and loan quality are the main bank-specific determinants of the aggregate, short-term, and medium-term systemic risks of the Chinese banks. For the long-term systemic risk contributions, the macroeconomic GDP growth rate and the bank size are the main influencing factors. These findings suggest that banking regulators in China should pay attention to the large and medium-sized banks in the context of monitoring and mitigating systemic risks. Furthermore, the long-term systemic risks of the Chinese banking sector can be reduced by boosting economic growth.

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Cite This Study

Jiang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e3211640886becb65403achttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2026.110026
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