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April 24, 2026The Gerontologist0 citations

Medication Refill Patterns and Mortality in U.S. Adults Aged 85+: A Retrospective Medicare Cohort Study

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NONadim OjaimiBBBrock A. BeamerRKRaymond H Kheirbek

Key Result

Consistent medication refill patterns, such as adherence to dCCBs, were associated with a 65% lower mortality risk (aHR 0.35) among hypertensive Medicare beneficiaries aged 85 and older.

Key Points

  • This study examines the relationship between medication refill patterns and mortality risk in Medicare beneficiaries aged 85 and older with hypertension.
  • Conducted a retrospective cohort study using Medicare claims data from 2006 to 2021.
  • Analyzed medication refill patterns for antihypertensive medications, statins, and proton pump inhibitors.
  • Estimated all-cause mortality risks using Cox proportional hazards models.
  • Consistent medication refills correlated with reduced all-cause mortality across medication classes.
  • Adherence to dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers linked to a 65% lower mortality risk.
  • Similar associations were found for statins and proton pump inhibitors, confirming overall health resilience.

Structured PICO

Do consistent medication refill patterns reduce all-cause mortality in U.S. Medicare beneficiaries aged 85 and older with hypertension?

P
Population
1,205,032 U.S. Medicare beneficiaries aged 85 and older with hypertension, median age 86, 69.6% women
I
Intervention
Consistent medication refill patterns for antihypertensive medications (including dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers), statins, and proton pump inhibitors
C
Comparator
Inconsistent refill patterns (≥30-day gaps in prescription claims)
O
Outcome
All-cause mortalityhard clinical

Consistent medication refill patterns in adults aged 85 and older are associated with lower mortality, likely reflecting overall health resilience and identifying at-risk individuals.

Limitations

  • Associations likely reflect underlying health status and end-of-life care decisions

Abstract

Abstract Background and Objectives The oldest-old (aged 85 and older) with hypertension face unique challenges in maintaining consistent medication refill patterns, yet their impact on mortality remains unclear. This study examines refill patterns as a marker of health vulnerability and mortality risk in Medicare beneficiaries to inform clinical interventions. Research Design and Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1,205,032 U.S. Medicare beneficiaries aged 85 and older with hypertension, using claims data from 2006 to 2021. Refill patterns for antihypertensive medications, including dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers (dCCBs), were assessed using 30-day gaps in prescription claims, modeled as a time-varying exposure. Secondary analyses evaluated statins and proton pump inhibitors (PPIs). Cox proportional hazards models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for all-cause mortality, with sensitivity analyses using a 60-day gap threshold. Results Among 1,205,032 individuals (median age 86; 69.6% women), consistent refill patterns were associated with reduced all-cause mortality across medication classes. Adherence to dCCBs was associated with a 65% lower mortality risk (aHR 0.35, 95% CI 0.34–0.35) in fully adjusted models. Statins (aHR 0.40, 95% CI 0.38–0.41) and PPIs (aHR 0.45, 95% CI 0.42–0.47) showed comparable associations. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses (aged ≥95) confirmed these findings, though associations likely reflect underlying health status and end-of-life care decisions. Discussion and Implications In Medicare beneficiaries aged 85 and older, consistent medication refill patterns were associated with lower mortality, likely reflecting health resilience. Refill data may identify at-risk individuals for timely clinical interventions.

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Cite This Study

Ojaimi et al. (2026) studied this question. Consistent medication refill patterns, such as adherence to dCCBs, were associated with a 65% lower mortality risk (aHR 0.35) among hypertensive Medicare beneficiaries aged 85 and older.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69eb0bc7553a5433e34b5591https://doi.org/10.1093/geront/gnag054
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