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April 26, 2026Neurologia medico-chirurgica0 citationsOpen Access

Long-term Cerebrovascular Risk after Microsurgical Clipping of Unruptured Anterior Circulation Aneurysms: Low Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Incidence and Persistent Stroke Susceptibility over 7,600 Patient-years

SKShunsuke KAWAMOTOGIGo IkedaSFShunsuke Fukaya

Key Result

Microsurgical clipping of unruptured anterior circulation aneurysms resulted in a low long-term subarachnoid hemorrhage incidence of 1.31 per 1,000 patient-years (RR 0.14 vs UCAS cohort).

Key Points

  • The study aims to characterize long-term cerebrovascular outcomes following microsurgical clipping of unruptured aneurysms.
  • Retrospective analysis of 930 patients with unruptured anterior circulation aneurysms from 2003-2025
  • Total follow-up of 7,638 patient-years with a median of 8.3 years
  • Calculation of incidence rates and standardized incidence ratios using Poisson methods.
  • Subarachnoid hemorrhage incidence was 1.31 per 1,000 patient-years; 95% CI 0.63-2.41
  • Standardized incidence ratio for all-stroke was 2.11; 95% CI 1.50-2.90; p < 0.001, primarily due to ischemic events
  • Demonstrated durable protection against subarachnoid hemorrhage at treated sites.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=930)

Multicenter

No

Structured PICO

Does microsurgical clipping reduce the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage and stroke in patients with asymptomatic anterior circulation unruptured intracranial aneurysms compared to natural history and the general population?

P
Population
930 patients (655 females, 275 males; mean age, 62.8 years) with asymptomatic anterior circulation unruptured intracranial aneurysms treated between 2003 and 2025
I
Intervention
Microsurgical clipping
C
Comparator
Natural-history cohorts (Unruptured Cerebral Aneurysm Study and Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Verification Study) and the general population
O
Outcome
Postoperative subarachnoid hemorrhagehard clinical

Microsurgical clipping of unruptured anterior circulation aneurysms provides durable protection against subarachnoid hemorrhage at treated sites, but patients remain at a 2-fold higher risk for overall stroke compared to the general population, highlighting the need for long-term vascular risk management.

Main Result

Effect estimate: RR 0.14 (95% CI 0.07-0.26)

Absolute Event Rate: 1.31% vs 9.52%

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • Retrospective, single-center design and strict selection criteria limit generalizability
  • Comparisons with natural-history cohorts are limited by differences in patient selection
  • Approximately 27% of patients were censored during follow-up
  • Functional outcomes assessed using mRS may not capture subtle neurological or cognitive deficits
  • Imaging surveillance relied primarily on MRI/MRA, which may under-detect small remnants or early de novo aneurysms
  • Limited number of SAH events (n = 10) constrained statistical power for subgroup analyses
  • Limited number of observed SAH events (n = 10)
  • Direct comparison with natural-history cohorts is limited by differences in patient selection

Abstract

Microsurgical clipping is an established treatment for unruptured intracranial aneurysms; however, long-term cerebrovascular outcomes beyond aneurysm obliteration remain incompletely characterized in surgically treated patients, particularly regarding non-hemorrhagic cerebrovascular events. We retrospectively analyzed 930 patients (990 procedures; 655 females, 275 males; mean age, 62.8 years) with asymptomatic anterior circulation unruptured intracranial aneurysms treated between 2003 and 2025, with a total follow-up of 7,638 patient-years (median, 8.3 years). The primary endpoint was postoperative subarachnoid hemorrhage, and secondary endpoints included all-stroke events and all-cause mortality. Incidence rates with 95% confidence intervals were calculated, and rate ratios versus natural-history cohorts (Unruptured Cerebral Aneurysm Study and Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Verification Study) and standardized incidence ratios versus the general population were computed using Poisson methods. Ten subarachnoid hemorrhage events occurred (1.31 per 1,000 patient-years; 95% confidence interval, 0.63-2.41), with most arising from untreated or de novo aneurysms; only 1 case originated from a previously clipped site, demonstrating durable protection at treated sites. Subarachnoid hemorrhage incidence was substantially lower than that reported in natural-history cohorts of conservatively managed unruptured intracranial aneurysms. In contrast, age-adjusted all-stroke incidence remained approximately 2-fold higher than in the general population (standardized incidence ratio 2.11; 95% confidence interval, 1.50-2.90; p < 0.001), driven predominantly by ischemic events. These findings indicate that microsurgical clipping effectively reduces the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage from treated aneurysms, whereas overall cerebrovascular risk remains elevated, reflecting persistent systemic vascular vulnerability rather than failure of local treatment. Long-term follow-up incorporating appropriate imaging surveillance and intensive management of modifiable vascular risk factors is therefore essential to optimize outcomes in this patient population.

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Cite This Study

KAWAMOTO et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Asymptomatic anterior circulation unruptured intracranial aneurysms (n=930). Microsurgical clipping vs. Natural-history cohorts (UCAS and SUAVe) was evaluated on Postoperative subarachnoid hemorrhage (RR 0.14, 95% CI 0.07-0.26, p=<0.001). Microsurgical clipping of unruptured anterior circulation aneurysms resulted in a low long-term subarachnoid hemorrhage incidence of 1.31 per 1,000 patient-years (RR 0.14 vs UCAS cohort).

synapsesocial.com/papers/69edab424a46254e215b358ahttps://doi.org/10.2176/jns-nmc.2026-0003
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