PulseExploreJournal ClubDebatesTrendingResearchersJournals
Instagram
HomeExploreJournal ClubTrending
Synapse
⌘+K
Synapse
April 29, 2026Water0 citationsOpen Access

Coal Mine Roof Water Inrush Prediction Based on Machine Learning Research

View Full Paper
JCJ ChenLLLu Li谭谭文峰

Key Points

  • The aim is to develop an intelligent approach to predict roof water inrush effectively.
  • Developed a multidimensional dataset using microseismic data, borehole water levels, electrical measurements, and daily water inflow.
  • Applied VMD-LSTM algorithm to predict roof rupture height and regression analysis for other indicators.
  • Compared the performance of VMD-LSTM with traditional LSTM models.
  • VMD-LSTM reduces MAE by 15.38%, RMSE by 20.00%, and MAPE by 17.39%.
  • Improvement in central tendency prediction errors ranged from 0.63% to 5.73%.
  • Demonstrates high accuracy in predicting water inrush precursors.

Abstract

This study develops an intelligent multi-indicator collaborative approach to improve coal seam roof water inrush warnings. A multidimensional dataset is constructed using microseismic data, borehole water levels, electrical measurements, and daily water inflow. A VMD-LSTM algorithm is proposed to predict roof rupture height, while regression analysis handles remaining indicators. Results show that during water-conducting channel development, microseismic activity, electrical data, and water inflow increase synchronously, whereas borehole water levels decline significantly—trends that reverse post-development. Compared to traditional LSTM, the VMD-LSTM model reduces MAE by 15.38%, RMSE by 20.00%, MAPE by 17.39%, HH by 9.52%, GPI by 10.76%, and improves NSE by 6.90%, demonstrating high accuracy. The central tendency prediction errors for the remaining indicators range from 0.63% to 5.73%. This integration of intelligent algorithms and multi-indicator analysis enables precise prediction of water inrush precursors, offering a new technical framework for roof water hazard prevention.

Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper

Cite This Study

Chen et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f154e0879cb923c4945151https://doi.org/10.3390/w18091036
Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper