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April 30, 2026Geoscience Letters0 citationsOpen Access

Recent increase in N2O growth rate (2013–2023) mainly due to increase of nitrogen-fertiliser and manure use in the Northern Tropics and Southern Landmass

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PPPrabir K. PatraYTYasunori TohjimaAIAkihiko Ito

Key Points

  • The study aims to quantify nitrous oxide emissions and identify regions contributing to their recent increase.
  • Used observational data from global multi-institutional networks
  • Applied the MIROC4-ACTM inversion framework
  • Analyzed N2O emissions from various regions
  • Nitrous oxide growth rate accelerated to 1.15 ppb yr − 1 from 2019-2023
  • Land N2O emissions increased by 106 GgN yr − 1 from 1998-2023
  • Significant emission sources identified in major Asian countries and parts of Africa.

Abstract

Abstract Nitrous oxide (N 2 O) is a strong greenhouse gas that contributes significantly to global warming and causes depletion of ozone in the stratosphere. Recent observational records show an unprecedented acceleration in atmospheric N₂O growth, reaching 1.15 ppb yr − 1 in 2019–2023, a significant increase compared to 0.68 ppb yr − 1 in 2001–2005. This surge in growth rate is particularly pronounced over tropical regions, and has been measured most prominently at the southern-most island of Japan (Hateruma). In this study, we use N 2 O observations from globally distributed multi-institutional networks and the MIROC4-ACTM inversion framework to quantify N 2 O emissions and identify key regions that are driving the recent acceleration. Our results suggest that the major Asian countries, Brazil, Central and Northern Africa, and the Contiguous United States have increased emission sources in the recent 2.5 decades (1998–2023). Further, there has been an increase in land N 2 O emissions, at a rate of 106 GgN yr − 1 per year during 1998–2002 to 2019–2023 (1Gg = 10 9 g). The inversion inferred trends are consistent with increased fertiliser use and manure production to support extensive agriculture, and terrestrial ecosystem model results. The emissions from oceanic regions did not show significant increases in N 2 O (rate: 7 ± 2 GgN yr − 1 per year) in our inverse model setup. Our results underscore the importance for improved climate mitigation strategies and emissions reduction policies by increasing nitrogen-fertiliser use efficiency in agricultural land.

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Cite This Study

Patra et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f2a4b78c0f03fd67763c3ahttps://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-026-00476-z
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