Predicting Cedar Pollen Dispersion using Data from Neighboring Areas: The Case of the Cities of Fukushima and Nihonmatsu

Key Points

• The aim is to predict cedar pollen dispersion in Fukushima using weather data from Nihonmatsu.
• Utilized historical weather data from Nihonmatsu to forecast cedar pollen dispersion in Fukushima.
• Based predictions on effective cumulative temperature calculated from baseline temperature of 0°C and starting date of January 21.
• Incorporated total pollen counts from previous years and key meteorological factors such as average temperature, sunshine hours, and precipitation.
• Predicted cedar pollen dispersion start date and total count effectively using neighboring area data.
• Forecast accuracy indicates potential benefits for managing cedar pollen allergies in cities with high prevalence.