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May 3, 20260 citations

Assessment of Carbon Emission Impact of Semaglutide in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes in the United Kingdom using an Innovative Modelling Approach.

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NLNiels LundARAndreas RascheMTMatthew Taylor

Key Points

  • To assess the carbon footprint and clinical outcomes of semaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes in the UK.
  • Projected impacts using the IQVIA Core Diabetes Model over a lifetime horizon.
  • Compared data from SUSTAIN-2 and SUSTAIN-6 trials on semaglutide, sitagliptin, and placebo.
  • Analyzed outcomes like life expectancy, quality-adjusted life-years, and diabetes-related complications.
  • Semaglutide showed a reduction in complications and treatment needs, enhancing life expectancy and quality-adjusted life-years.
  • Environmental analysis indicated lower carbon emissions with semaglutide compared to sitagliptin and standard care.
  • Sensitivity analyses confirmed the durability and reliability of findings.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the carbon footprint and clinical outcomes of once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the United Kingdom. METHODS: Using the IQVIA Core Diabetes Model, environmental and clinical impacts were projected over a lifetime horizon from the National Health Services perspective. Data from the SUSTAIN-2 (patients with T2DM) and SUSTAIN-6 (patients with T2DM and established cardiovascular CV risk) trials were used to compare semaglutide with sitagliptin and placebo, respectively. Outcomes included life expectancy measured in life-years (LYs), and quality-adjusted life expectancy measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained; incidence of diabetes-related complications and adverse events; carbon emissions; and incremental carbon footprint effectiveness ratios (ICFERs). RESULTS: was mainly driven by reduced complications and treatment needs. Sensitivity analyses supported the robustness of the results. CONCLUSION: Semaglutide offers environmental advantages over sitagliptin for patients with T2DM overall and over standard of care for those with established CV risk.

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Cite This Study

Lund et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f6e6648071d4f1bdfc7036https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2026.03.2249
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