Response of juvenile Chinook Salmon to an experimental reservoir operation to facilitate downstream migration

Abstract Objectives High-head dams and storage reservoirs impact ecological processes, impeding recovery efforts of Pacific salmon Oncorhynchus spp. in the western United States. These projects can delay migration, increase risks of predation and disease, and induce mortality for juvenile Pacific salmon during downstream passage. To mitigate these negative effects, large-scale changes to dam operations have been proposed as interim measures or alternatives to engineered fish passage solutions. A novel deep drawdown operation of the Lookout Point Project (two dams and reservoirs) in Oregon serves as a case study for learning from a large-scale management experiment. Beginning in July 2024, Lookout Point Reservoir was slowly lowered to attain minimal levels from mid-November to mid-December with the intent of expediting downstream passage through the project for juvenile Chinook Salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha. We evaluated the impacts of the months-long operation on two life histories of juvenile Chinook Salmon with different rearing environments and growth rates. Methods Acoustic telemetry was used to monitor juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Lookout Point Project. Environmental data, including water temperature and hydrological conditions, were collected. We fitted a time-integrated migration survival model to these data to estimate the effects of management-influenced covariates and fish length on apparent survival and residence time in each reach of the Lookout Point Project. Results Larger fish had higher survival than smaller fish in each reach of the Lookout Point Project. Apparent survival through each dam of the Lookout Point Project was highest and forebay residence times lowest during the latter part of the drawdown (late November). However, early periods of the drawdown (September) were associated with a transition from a thermally stratified reservoir to a warm isothermal reservoir that negatively impacted reservoir survival. Conclusions The deep drawdown of the Lookout Point Project achieved the management intent to improve downstream passage for juvenile Chinook Salmon at the lowest reservoir elevations but also caused unintended changes in the reservoir rearing environment prior to full drawdown. Further research could resolve remaining uncertainties regarding the overall effectiveness of drawdown operations with respect to the population dynamics of different juvenile life history strategies. Understanding these factors would help optimize future management actions aimed at Pacific salmon recovery above the Lookout Point Project.