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May 9, 2026Cureus0 citationsOpen Access

New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation as an Early Marker of Anthracycline-Associated Cardiotoxicity and Mortality: A Retrospective Study

AHAnna HomeniukGKGokul KarthikeyanAAAnas Atrash

Key Result

New-onset atrial fibrillation in patients receiving anthracycline therapy with early readmission was associated with a significantly higher risk of heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality.

Key Points

  • This study aims to evaluate the association between new-onset atrial fibrillation and mortality risk among adults receiving anthracycline chemotherapy.
  • Utilized TriNetX electronic health record data to identify adults initiating anthracycline therapy.
  • Compared 30-day readmission patients with and without new-onset atrial fibrillation using propensity score matching (1:1).
  • Evaluated outcomes of heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality.
  • New-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with 30-day readmission was associated with higher rates of heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality.
  • The subgroup with both new-onset atrial fibrillation and early readmission presented the highest cumulative event rates.
  • Identifying this high-risk subgroup allows for the potential enhancement of post-discharge risk assessment and arrhythmia monitoring.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=5,080)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does new-onset atrial fibrillation increase the risk of heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality in adults initiating anthracycline chemotherapy?

P
Population
2,540 adults initiating anthracycline chemotherapy who had a 30-day readmission, identified via the TriNetX federated electronic health record network.
I
Intervention
New-onset atrial fibrillation
C
Comparator
No new-onset atrial fibrillation (1:1 propensity score matched)
O
Outcome
Heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortalityhard clinical

New-onset atrial fibrillation during anthracycline therapy, especially with early readmission, identifies a high-risk subgroup for subsequent heart failure hospitalization and death.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 0.273 (95% CI 0.238 to 0.311)

Absolute Event Rate: 30.9% vs 11.9%

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • Retrospective EHR-based design introduces potential residual confounding.
  • Important clinical and oncologic variables, including cancer type, stage, and baseline LVEF, were not fully available.
  • Anthracycline cumulative dose, dosing intensity, and concomitant chemotherapy agents could not be reliably quantified.
  • Heart failure was defined using ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes rather than echocardiographic measurements.
  • The temporal relationship between atrial fibrillation onset and subsequent heart failure hospitalization could not always be established with exact timing granularity.
  • Mortality was assessed as all-cause mortality; cancer-specific and cardiovascular-specific mortality were not available.

Abstract

New-onset atrial fibrillation and early readmission after anthracycline initiation may signal a higher risk of mortality and adverse clinical outcomes, but their prognostic value has not been well established. We therefore sought to evaluate this association. Using the TriNetX federated electronic health record network, we identified adults initiating anthracycline chemotherapy. Among patients with 30-day readmission, we compared those who developed new-onset atrial fibrillation with those who did not. Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed. The outcomes of interest were heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality. The final matched cohort included 2,540 patients. Among patients with 30-day readmission, new-onset atrial fibrillation was associated with significantly worse outcomes than no atrial fibrillation, including higher rates of heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality. The subgroup with both new-onset atrial fibrillation and early readmission had the highest cumulative event rates. New-onset atrial fibrillation during anthracycline therapy, particularly when accompanied by early readmission, identifies a high-risk subgroup for subsequent heart failure hospitalization and death. Incorporating arrhythmia surveillance and post-discharge risk stratification into anthracycline care pathways may improve long-term cardiovascular and survival outcomes in this vulnerable population.

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Cite This Study

Homeniuk et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Cancer patients receiving anthracycline therapy (n=5,080). New-onset atrial fibrillation vs. No atrial fibrillation was evaluated on Heart failure hospitalization (HR 0.273, 95% CI 0.238 to 0.311, p=<0.001). New-onset atrial fibrillation in patients receiving anthracycline therapy with early readmission was associated with a significantly higher risk of heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69fed17eb9154b0b82878e37https://doi.org/10.7759/cureus.108414
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