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May 10, 2026Heart Rhythm0 citations

Association between Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic syndrome and clinical outcomes in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Insights from COOL-AF registry

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AWArjbordin WinijkulAYAhthit YindeengamGLGregory Y.H. Lip

Key Points

  • This study aims to demonstrate the association between cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome stages and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).
  • Utilized the prospective nationwide COOL-AF registry to classify patients into CKM stages based on consensus definitions.

Structured PICO

Does higher Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic (CKM) syndrome stage increase the risk of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation?

P
Population
3,235 patients with atrial fibrillation from the prospective nationwide COOL-AF registry, mean age 67.9 years, 42.2% female.
I
Intervention
Higher Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic (CKM) syndrome stages (stages 2, 3, and 4)
C
Comparator
Lower CKM syndrome stages (stages 0-1)
O
Outcome
Composite of all-cause mortality, stroke and systemic embolism, major bleeding, and heart failure (HF)composite

In patients with atrial fibrillation, advanced Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic syndrome stages are associated with significantly higher risks of adverse outcomes, which can be mitigated by adherence to the ABC integrated care pathway.

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome has been recently defined to highlight the interconnections between these organ systems on the natural history of disease and clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To demonstrate associations between CKM interconnection and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHOD: Using the prospective nationwide COOL-AF registry, patients were classified into each CKM stage aligned with consensus definition. The primary end point was composite of all-cause mortality, stroke and systemic embolism, major bleeding, and heart failure (HF). The association of clinical outcomes with compliance to holistic or integrated care management based on the AF Better Care (ABC) pathway was explored. RESULTS: In 3235 patients with AF (mean age 67.9 years, standard deviation 11.2; 42.2% female), the proportions with CKM stage 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 were 4.4%, 5.1%, 30.9%, 12.1%, and 47.5%, respectively. Progression of CKM stages was associated with stepwise increase in the incidence rate of the primary outcome (when compared with incidence rate of patients with CKM grade 0-1, adjusted hazard ratios aHRs were 1.60, 2.24, 2.88 for CKM stage 2, 3, and 4, respectively). The greatest risk was for HF, with CKM stage 4 aHR 7.54 (95% confidence interval 2.79-20.40) compared with CKM stage 0-1. Clinical outcomes in patients with advanced CKM stages were improved with ABC pathway compliance (HR 0.60, 95% confidence interval 0.49-0.73). CONCLUSION: In patients with AF, higher stages of CKM syndrome were associated with greater risks of AF-related clinical outcomes, especially HF. Integrated care especially in patients with advanced CKM syndrome improved clinical outcomes.

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Cite This Study

Winijkul et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a002360c8f74e3340f9d2c1https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hrthm.2026.04.061
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