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May 14, 2026Mathematics of Operations Research0 citations

Testing Hypotheses Generated by Constraints

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MLMartin LarssonARAaditya RamdasJRJohannes Ruf

Key Points

  • The aim is to characterize the form of e-variables arising from hypotheses generated by constraints.
  • Developed an abstract representation theorem for e-variables across various hypothesis classes.
  • Instantiated the theory for specific cases including finite constraints and sub-Gaussian distributions.
  • Proved the existence and uniqueness of optimal e-variables for utility-based objectives.
  • Described all e-variables for hypotheses defined by an arbitrary collection of measurable constraints.
  • Characterized admissible e-variables for three important classes, including constraints on moments and quantiles.
  • Demonstrated a complete solution leveraging existing e-variable literature.

Abstract

E-variables are nonnegative random variables with expected value at most one under any distribution from a given null hypothesis. Every nonasymptotically valid test can be obtained by thresholding some e-variable. As such, e-variables arise naturally in applications in statistics and operations research, and a key open problem is to characterize their form. We provide a complete solution to this problem for hypotheses generated by constraints—a broad and natural framework that encompasses many hypothesis classes occurring in practice. Our main result is an abstract representation theorem that describes all e-variables for any hypothesis defined by an arbitrary collection of measurable constraints. We instantiate this general theory for three important classes: hypotheses generated by finitely many constraints, one-sided sub-Formula: see text distributions (including sub-Gaussian distributions), and distributions constrained by group symmetries. In each case, we explicitly characterize all e-variables as well as all admissible e-variables. Numerous examples are treated, including constraints on moments, quantiles, and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). Building on these, we prove the existence and uniqueness of optimal e-variables under a large class of expected utility-based objective functions used for optimal decision making, in particular covering all criteria studied in the e-variable literature to date. Funding: This research was supported by the National Science Foundation Grants NSF DMS-2310718 and NSF DMS-2510965 and a Sloan Fellowship.

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Cite This Study

Larsson et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0567bca550a87e60a1feb6https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2025.1129
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