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May 15, 2026Journal of Asthma0 citations

Circulating IL-6 Associates with a Distinct Pediatric Asthma Subtype and Serves as a Potential Key Predictor for Risk Stratification

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YLYing LiuLCLina chengLWLu Wang

Key Points

  • The aim is to determine the association of circulating IL-6 with pediatric asthma phenotypes and its potential as a predictive biomarker for risk stratification.
  • LASSO regression analysis was performed to evaluate clinical, inflammatory, and lung function variables.
  • A predictive nomogram was developed and validated in training and independent cohorts.
  • C-index performance was assessed for the nomogram's discriminative ability.
  • Circulating IL-6 was identified as the most significant predictive biomarker for asthma phenotypic characteristics.
  • The predictive nomogram demonstrated excellent discriminative performance with a C-index of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.79-0.91) in the training cohort.
  • In the validation cohort, the nomogram maintained a strong performance with a C-index of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.75-0.89).

Abstract

as variables independently associated with asthma phenotypic characteristics. Notably, LASSO regression selected circulating IL-6 as the most prominent predictive biomarker for asthma phenotypic characteristics among all evaluated clinical, inflammatory and lung function variables. A predictive nomogram incorporating key variables showed excellent discriminative performance in the training cohort (C-index = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.79-0.91) and was validated in an independent cohort (C-index = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.75-0.89).ConclusionElevated circulating IL-6 is a prominent feature associated with a distinct phenotypic subgroup of pediatric asthma, and is correlated with impaired lung function and increased airway inflammation in asthmatic children. These findings support the potential of IL-6 as a significant predictive biomarker for phenotypic risk stratification in pediatric asthma, and suggest its potential utility in phenotypic subtyping of asthmatic patients and as a promising therapeutic target for the IL-6-high pediatric asthma subgroup. All conclusions are interpreted cautiously given the study's methodological limitations, and further large-cohort prospective validation is required.

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Cite This Study

Liu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a06b888e7dec685947ab08ehttps://doi.org/10.1080/02770903.2026.2666086
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