Abstract Elevated blood pressure (BP) in midlife is a well-established risk factor for impaired brain health and cognitive ability in old age. We hypothesised that exposure to elevated BP within the first five decades of life may contribute to this risk through impacts on brain health and/or cognitive ability evident by midlife. Participants (n=893) were selected from the Dunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Study (The Dunedin Study). Exposures were systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) blood pressures measured at ages 7, 11, 18, 26, 32, 38 and 45. Cumulative early-life exposure to blood pressure was also quantified as area under the curve (AUC). Brain health was assessed at age 45 via imaging measures comprising BrainAGE (difference between chronological age and age predicted from machine-learning models of brain-imaging data), white matter hyperintensity (WMH) burden, and retinal arteriolar calibers (RAC) - a proxy for cerebral small vessel remodeling. Cognitive ability (assessed using IQ) was also measured at age 45, with replication of cognitive findings tested in a larger contemporary cohort, the 1970 British Cohort Study. We found limited evidence for any association between BP in the first four decades of life and brain health or cognitive ability at age 45. Most associations instead emerged for BP from early-midlife onwards. Midlife BP was associated with older BrainAGE (Beta for DBP at age 45 = 0.11 0.04, 0.19; p=0.003) and higher WMH burden (Beta = 0.09 0.02, 0.17; p=0.019). Effect estimates for SBP were similar. For cognitive ability, DBP at ages 38 and 45 showed modest associations with age 45 IQ, which became null after accounting for childhood IQ. These findings broadly replicated in the 1970 British Cohort Study for age 47 IQ. Only RAC in The Dunedin Study were found to associate with BP from childhood (Beta for age 7 DBP = -0.09 -0.16, -0.03; p = 0.006), and the magnitude of these estimates increased during midlife (Beta at age 45 = -0.37 -0.45, -0.30; p 0.001). We found little evidence for any association between BP prior to age 40 and BrainAGE, WMH volume, or cognitive ability in midlife. However, cumulative exposure to elevated BP from childhood was associated with reduced RAC, suggesting a potential link between BP and adverse cerebral small vessel remodeling from childhood.
Mugoba et al. (2026) studied this question.