We designed a supervised machine learning framework to predict standard Gibbs free energies, ΔG°, of formal hydrogen atom transfer (f-HAT) for phenolic antioxidants across different radicals and media, enabling rapid and chemically interpretable screening. We curated a DFT dataset of 71 molecules (phenolic compounds and anthocyanidins), with 207 reaction sites, 10 radical reactive oxygen/sulfur species, and three environments (leading to a total of 6210 ΔG° values). The models amass 106 numerical RDKit descriptors, augmented with one-hot encodings of medium, site, radical, and structural class, and were evaluated through a leave-one-molecule-out protocol. Among the tested regression algorithms, the random forest regressor provides the best balance of accuracy and robustness with both R2 test (≈0.94) and MAE (2.74 kcal mol−1; RMSE (≈5.0 kcal mol−1)), close to DFT chemical accuracy. The feature-importance analysis revealed that “electronic” and “experimental” (site/group) descriptors primarily drive predictions, with the radical’s maximum absolute partial charge being the most important descriptor in the prediction of a radical’s ΔG°. These results suggest that descriptor-driven RF (Random Forest) models can generalize across chemical space to provide interpretable ΔG° predictions, providing a path for chemists towards a scalable route to prioritize antioxidant candidates for broader molecular families.
Zeppilli et al. (2026) studied this question.