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May 28, 2026ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS RESEARCH0 citationsOpen Access

The low-load trap in hydrogen systems: a nested RIS-PTE framework for regional synergy in China’s yangtze river delta

YWYunmei WuHHHua HuangXBXunyan Bao

Key Points

  • This research aims to understand and overcome the constraints of decarbonizing port logistics with green hydrogen in the Yangtze River Delta.
  • Modeling the transition of environmental-energy systems using the Nested RIS-PTE framework.
  • Simulating spatial-functional coupling of regional strengths.
  • Analyzing the impact of a Port-Corridor strategy on hydrogen cost and utilization rates.
  • Achieved a Levelized Cost of Hydrogen decrease from 55.5 RMB/kg to 30.6 RMB/kg near diesel parity.
  • Elevated hydrogen utilization rates from 36% to 75% through combined regional strengths.
  • Identified key techno-economic tipping points for heavy-duty commercialization.

Abstract

While decarbonizing heavy-duty port logistics is essential for regional sustainability, the large-scale transition to green hydrogen in industrial clusters is systematically constrained by a “Low-Load Trap”, where localized resource scarcity and fragmented demand create a self-reinforcing cycle of high costs. Although existing techno-economic frameworks typically treat hydrogen infrastructure as isolated nodes, this study addresses these spatial limitations by modeling the structural transition of such environmental-energy systems through a proposed “Nested RIS-PTE” framework (Regional Innovation System embedded with Policy-Technology-Economy flows). Taking China’s Yangtze River Delta as a case study, we simulate how the spatial-functional coupling of inter-provincial comparative advantages, drawing on regional strengths in R&D, manufacturing, and renewable energy, converges in a high-density port application hub to dismantle entrenched cost barriers. Results demonstrate that this regional synergy drives a non-linear Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) reduction from 55.5 RMB/kg to approximately 30.6 RMB/kg, close to the diesel parity threshold. Beyond simple cost-cutting, we reveal a “Denominator Effect” triggered by a “Port-Corridor” strategy, which provides a mechanistic pathway for infrastructure to transcend the utilization bottleneck—elevating rates from a stagnant 36% to a commercially viable 75%. By identifying the exact techno-economic tipping points for heavy-duty commercialization, this study offers a framework that can be adapted to other port agglomerations, suggesting that while the synergistic mechanisms are conceptually general, their application requires context-specific parameterization.

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Cite This Study

Wu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a17dcbb3fad632b0f9d974fhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s40068-026-00476-0
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