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May 28, 2026Indian Journal of Critical Care MedicineOpen Access

A Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO)-derived AAGC Model for In-hospital Mortality Prediction in Sepsis Incorporating Age, APACHE II Score, Glasgow Coma Scale, and Creatinine: A Prospective Study

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Authors

HGHemant GuliaMSMohit SuhagNBNikhil Bagal

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Overview

Prospective trial develops a predictive model for mortality in sepsis, indicating its clinical significance.

Key Points

  • To identify predictors of mortality in sepsis patients and develop a predictive model using LASSO.
  • Prospective cohort study involving 150 adults diagnosed with sepsis.
  • Utilized LASSO regression for variable selection followed by multivariable logistic regression.
  • Model performance assessed through ROC analysis and calibration plots.
  • Of 150 patients, 86 (57.3%) died during hospitalization.
  • AAGC model showed excellent discrimination with AUC: 0.95 (95% CI: 0.92-0.99).
  • Independent mortality predictors included high respiratory rate, culture-negative sepsis, respiratory failure, and septic shock.

Cite This Study

Gulia et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a17dd313fad632b0f9d9deehttps://doi.org/10.5005/jp-journals-10071-25196
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