Abstract Drainage of supraglacial lakes via hydro-fracture is widely argued to be a mechanism for destabilization of grounded ice sheets under climate-warming scenarios because it may accelerate surface meltwater access to the ice-sheet bed. Progress in interrogating this hypothesis has been hindered by the lack of regional observations of hydro-fracture event occurrence, and the lack of observations of regional ice-sheet response to hydro-fracture events. Here, we remedy both deficiencies using a 22-station Global Navigation Satellite System array to discern inter-lake, hydro-fracture-event triggering potential between lakes spanning the mid-to-upper Greenland Ice Sheet ablation zone. In four separate instances, multiple lake hydro-fracture events occur close in time at similar elevations; meanwhile, strain rates across higher-elevation lake basins are unperturbed. Our findings support a simple model for the inland progression of surface-to-bed meltwater pathways beneath lakes: pathway initiation migrates alongside advancing surface melt, but is not accelerated by drainage activity at distant, lower-elevation lakes.
Stevens et al. (2026) studied this question.