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May 31, 2026Ocean Modelling0 citationsOpen Access

Argo Trajectory-Derived Current Assimilation and Its Impact on the Mid-Layer Circulation in the South China Sea

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JLJingyi LiuXWXiaohui WangSBSenliang Bao

Key Points

  • This research aims to refine the mid-layer circulation simulation in the South China Sea using Argo-derived velocities.
  • Developed a multi-source observational data assimilation system based on the ROMS I4D-Var framework.
  • Assimilated Argo trajectory-derived velocities with satellite observations and in-situ profiles in May 2022.
  • Conducted a comparison between EXP3 (with data assimilation) and a control experiment (without data assimilation).
  • The RMSE of absolute velocity decreased from 5 cm/s to 3 cm/s after data assimilation.
  • The proportion of points with well-simulated current directions increased from 26% to 66%.
  • The proportion of well-modeled points in EXP3 was approximately 4.4 times greater than in the control experiment.

Abstract

As a key component of the 3D circulation, the mid-layer (500-1500 m depth) circulation in the South China Sea (SCS) plays a pivotal role in energy transfer and water mass exchange. However, accurately characterizing its circulation structure remains challenging, mainly stemming from the paucity of observational data and the limited accuracy of numerical models. In recent years, Argo trajectory-derived velocities have offered valuable insights for evaluating and refining numerical models. To alleviate systematic biases in simulating the SCS mid-layer circulation, a multi-source observational data assimilation system based on the ROMS I4D-Var framework is developed. Within this system, Argo trajectory-derived velocities were assimilated alongside satellite observations and in-situ profiles (referred to as EXP3) in May 2022. Results indicated that assimilating Argo trajectory-derived velocities significantly improved the simulation of the SCS mid-layer circulation by reducing random errors. The root mean square error (RMSE) of absolute velocity decreased from 5 cm/s to 3 cm/s. Notably, a significant improvement was achieved in current direction accuracy, with the proportion of points with well-simulated directions increasing from 26% to 66%. A comprehensive analysis of velocity and direction revealed that the proportion of well-modeled points (57%) in EXP3 was approximately 4.4 times that in the control experiment (without data assimilation, 13%). Furthermore, EXP3 successfully corrected the vertical current anomaly of the Luzon Strait, reproducing the "sandwich" pattern of water exchange between the Pacific Ocean and the SCS. These findings underscore the significance of Argo trajectories for advancing our understanding of the 3D circulation in the SCS.

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Cite This Study

Liu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1bd0155783ba022b6fbf53https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2026.102770
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