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May 31, 2026National Science ReviewOpen Access

Polar dimming and mid-latitude brightening in a warming climate

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Authors

SLShichu LiuFSFengfei SongYWYue Wang

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Overview

Randomized trial shows changes in solar radiation impact polar and mid-latitude regions, suggesting climate implications.

Key Points

  • This research investigates how global warming alters downward surface solar radiation (DSSR) patterns across different latitudes.
  • Multi-model analysis of future DSSR changes under a high-emission scenario (SSP585)
  • Assessment of cloud and water vapor contributions to DSSR dynamics
  • In the Arctic, a DSSR decrease of 14.6% (12.7 to 17.6%) is projected, with 7.0% (5.8 to 8.1%) in the Antarctic.
  • Mid-latitude regions experience a slight average increase in DSSR of 2.1% (0.7 to 3.1%).
  • Cloud-induced effects dominate brightening in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes, while polar dimming is influenced by both clouds and clear-sky conditions.

Cite This Study

Liu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1bd1745783ba022b6fd147https://doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwag330
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