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June 1, 2026Emergency Medicine International0 citationsOpen Access

Temperature Trajectories Are Associated With the Prognosis of Septic Patients

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KDKeying DingCXC XuXZXueqi Zhu

Key Points

  • The study aims to explore the relationship between temperature trajectories and clinical outcomes in septic patients.
  • Retrospective cohort study of sepsis patients in the ICU.
  • Temperature data collected within the first 48 hours of admission, analyzed using growth‐based trajectory modeling.
  • Multivariable logistic regression model used to assess associations with clinical outcomes.
  • 312 sepsis patients were analyzed, identifying four temperature trajectories: hypothermia, fever with rapid drop, persistently elevated, and normothermia.
  • Hypothermia group had the highest mortality (OR 2.73; 95% CI 1.10–6.73; p=0.030) and higher rates of hospital-acquired bloodstream infections.
  • Persistently elevated temperature group showed increased in-hospital mortality compared to normothermia (OR 3.40; 95% CI 1.74–6.67; p<0.001).

Abstract

Purpose Sepsis is a heterogeneous clinical syndrome, and identification of its subphenotypes is essential. We aimed to investigate the correlation between the different trajectories of temperature and outcomes in septic patients. Patients and methods This was a retrospective cohort study that included sepsis patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of a tertiary care hospital. Patients’ temperature data were collected during the first 48 h after ICU admission, and patients’ temperature trajectories were identified using growth‐based trajectory modeling (GBTM). A multivariable logistic regression model was performed to assess the independent association of clinical outcomes. External validation was conducted using the MIMIC‐IV database. Results A total of 312 patients with sepsis were included. Four temperature trajectories were identified: hypothermia group ( n = 33), fever and rapid temperature drop group ( n = 45), persistently elevated temperature group ( n = 63), and normothermia group ( n = 171). Hypothermia patients exhibited the highest mortality and incidence of hospital‐acquired bloodstream infections (HA‐BSIs). Multivariable logistic regression showed that compared with the normothermia group, patients in the hypothermia group (OR 2.73; 95% CI 1.10–6.73; p = 0.030) and the persistently elevated temperature group (OR 3.40; 95% CI 1.74–6.67; p < 0.001) had significantly higher in‐hospital mortality. Similar subphenotypes were observed in the MIMIC‐IV cohort. Further analysis reached similar results in the MIMIC‐IV dataset. Conclusion This study used longitudinal body temperature data to identify the subphenotypes of sepsis, with significant variability in in‐hospital mortality and HA‐BSI. A better understanding of the temperature trajectory may be helpful in identifying deteriorating septic patients in advance.

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Cite This Study

Ding et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1d224302fbce9130638152https://doi.org/10.1155/emmi/9111659
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