No Classical Probability for Counterfactuals

Key Points

• This research aims to challenge and refine existing notions of probability related to counterfactuals.
• Strengthening a triviality result by Santorio (2022) regarding counterfactual probabilities.
• Analyzing the implications of non-classical probability behavior for counterfactuals.
• The findings indicate that the classical approach to counterfactual probabilities is insufficient.
• Suggests that embracing non-classical methods may provide better insight into counterfactual reasoning.