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June 3, 2026Journal of Hydrology0 citationsOpen Access

From fixed calendars to dynamic triggers: climate-responsive field management with SWAT + decision tables

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MEMohammad Reza EiniBMBirgit MüllerMSMichael Strauch

Key Points

  • This research aims to enhance impact assessment modeling by introducing a dynamic framework that reduces biases based on fixed calendar assumptions.
  • Introduced a decision-table and state-triggered management framework for modeling.
  • Developed a reproducible workflow to derive triggers based on historical management timing.
  • Analyzed the implications of fixed calendar assumptions on crop yields and nitrogen losses.
  • Demonstrated that using dynamic triggers can significantly alter projected crop yields and nitrogen loss outcomes.
  • Quantified changes in key impact assessment endpoints under various climate scenarios.

Abstract

• Introduces a decision-table, state-triggered management framework to reduce structural bias in impact assessment modeling. • Provides a reproducible workflow to derive phenology-based triggers from historically consistent management timing. • Demonstrates that fixed calendar assumptions can change both the magnitude and direction of projected impacts. • Quantifies implications for key IA-relevant endpoints, including crop yields and nitrogen losses under climate scenarios.

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Cite This Study

Eini et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1fc6cddee9eb8c0dce7a59https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135767
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