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June 4, 2026Clinics0 citationsOpen Access

A novel inflammatory score predicts hematoma expansion and 90‑day functional outcomes after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage

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XLXianxian LiYJYuchao JiaJYJiahe Ye

Key Points

  • To assess the prognostic value of an inflammatory score in predicting hematoma expansion and 90-day outcomes in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.
  • Retrospective analysis of acute ICH admissions at Tongji Hospital from 2012 to 2024.
  • Inflammatory score derived from blood biomarkers within 24 hours of admission.
  • Analyzed hematoma expansion and outcomes using multivariable models and imputation techniques.
  • Hematoma expansion occurred in 298 of 1047 patients (28.5%).
  • The inflammatory score was associated with hematoma expansion (adjusted OR 1.18) and poor function (adjusted OR 1.27).
  • Adding the score improved AUC for hematoma expansion (0.681 to 0.709, p=0.007) and mortality (0.815 to 0.838, p=0.036).

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Intracerebral Hemorrhage (ICH) entails high morbidity and rapid clinical deterioration; early risk stratification is critical. Although inflammatory biomarkers correlate with Hematoma Expansion (HE) and outcomes, their incremental value over existing models is uncertain. METHODS: The authors retrospectively included consecutive acute ICH admissions to Tongji Hospital (2012‒2024). An inflammatory score (0‒9) was derived from the first post-admission blood draw (on admission or next morning), all within 24 h of admission, using neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio, systemic immune-inflammation index (neutrophil × platelet/lymphocyte), lactate dehydrogenase, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. HE was defined as > 6 mL or > 33% on 24‒48 h follow-up Computed Tomography (CT). 90-day outcomes were poor function (modified Rankin Scale mRS score 4‒6) and mortality. Multivariable models used multiple imputation. RESULTS: HE analyses included 1047 patients with baseline and 24‒48 h follow-up CT; 298 (28.5%) had HE. Outcome analyses included 953 patients (94-lacked 90-day follow-up); 399 (41.9%) had mRS 4‒6 and 120 (12.6%) died. The score was independently associated with HE (adjusted Odds Ratio 1.18), poor function (1.27), and mortality (1.30). Adding the score increased the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for HE (0.681 to 0.709; ΔAUC = 0.029; p = 0.007), poor function (0.826 to 0.842; ΔAUC = 0.016; p = 0.014), and mortality (0.815 to 0.838; ΔAUC = 0.022; p = 0.036). Sensitivity analyses, including a ≤ 6 h landmark analysis, inverse probability weighting (IPW) for follow-up availability, and complete-case analyses, yielded similar effects. CONCLUSION: An admission laboratory-based inflammatory score provides independent, incremental prognostic value for HE and 90-day outcomes after ICH. REGISTRATION-URL: http://www.chictr.org.cn. Unique identifier: ChiCTR-ROC-2,000039365.

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Cite This Study

Li et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a211549d499ed480b16e885https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clinsp.2026.101004
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