We investigated the autumn-to-winter evolution of water-mass structure and nutrient concentrations in Funka Bay, southwestern Hokkaido, Japan, from October to February (2012–2019). Hydrographic and biogeochemical profiles show a recurrent seasonal transition from strongly stratified conditions in October, with low surface nutrients and bottom enrichment, to increasingly homogeneous distributions by mid-winter as vertical mixing intensifies. Depth-averaged nutrient concentrations generally decreased from October to December and increased from December to February, except during December 2015–February 2016. To assess whether February nutrient levels can be explained by Oyashio supply alone, we calculated February nutrient concentrations using a two-endmember mixing model (Oyashio endmember and December Funka Bay water) with an additional regeneration term that assumes nutrients consumed during the October–December autumn bloom were fully regenerated during December–February and redistributed by winter mixing. Under this framework, the expected February concentrations agreed with observations in all winters except 2015, when observed nutrients were lower than expected nutrients, consistent with additional biological drawdown after the early onset of the bloom by late February. These results indicate that the pre-bloom winter nutrient environment in Funka Bay is shaped by variable Oyashio intrusion superimposed on seasonal mixing and internal regeneration processes.
Cui et al. (Tue,) studied this question.